Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-Rich Countries

Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-Rich Countries
Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Total Pages : 28
Release :
ISBN-10 : 9781475596465
ISBN-13 : 1475596464
Rating : 4/5 (65 Downloads)

Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-Rich Countries by : Ms.Elva Bova

Download or read book Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-Rich Countries written by Ms.Elva Bova and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-02-23 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Resource-rich countries face large and persistent shocks, especially coming from volatile commodity prices. Given the severity of the shocks, it would be expected that these countries adopt countercyclical fiscal policies to help shield the domestic economy. Taking advantage of a new dataset covering 48 non-renewable commodity exporters for the period 1970-2014, we investigate whether fiscal policy does indeed play a stabilizing role. Our analysis shows that fiscal policy tends to have a procyclical bias (mainly via expenditures) and, contrary to others, we do not find evidence that this bias has declined in recent years. Adoption of fiscal rules does not seem to reduce procyclicality in a significant way, but the quality of political institutions does matter. Finally, non-commodity revenues tend to respond only to persistent changes in commodity prices.


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